DCF Valuation

EDP - Energias de Portugal S.A (ELCPF) DCF Valuation — Is ELCPF undervalued?

The estimated DCF fair value of one EDP - Energias de Portugal S.A (ELCPF) share is $18.49. Compared to the current market price of $4.90, the stock is undervalued by 277.3%.

DCF fair value

$18.49

Market price

$4.90

Upside / downside

+277.3%

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EDP - Energias de Portugal S.A (ELCPF) DCF valuation FAQ

What is the DCF fair value of EDP - Energias de Portugal S.A (ELCPF)?

The discounted-cash-flow model estimates the intrinsic fair value of one EDP - Energias de Portugal S.A (ELCPF) share at $18.49, based on a 10-year projection of its cash flows converging to Damodaran industry averages.

Is EDP - Energias de Portugal S.A (ELCPF) overvalued or undervalued?

Against the current market price of $4.90, the DCF fair value of $18.49 implies ELCPF is undervalued by 277.3%.

How is the ELCPF DCF value calculated?

It is a 10-year discounted-cash-flow estimate built from EDP - Energias de Portugal S.A's reported fundamentals, with terminal assumptions anchored to Damodaran NYU industry datasets. The market price refreshes daily; the DCF fair value updates when EDP - Energias de Portugal S.A files a new quarterly or annual report.

How this ELCPF valuation is built

The model projects ten years of EDP - Energias de Portugal S.A's free cash flow to the firm and discounts each year at its own cost of capital. Rather than assuming today's growth and margins persist forever, a moat-scoring step — weighing EDP - Energias de Portugal S.A's ROIC-versus-WACC spread, gross-margin trend, and reinvestment efficiency — decides how many years the business holds its edge before its economics mean-revert toward the Damodaran NYU benchmarks for its industry.

WACC is rebuilt each year from an unlevered-then-relevered beta and the company's evolving capital structure; terminal value uses the Gordon growth model with a reinvestment rate tied to the return earned on new capital (goodwill stripped out to reflect operating efficiency). Every assumption — growth, margins, tax, leverage, convergence timing — is editable, and running the full interactive model adds a 10,000-draw Monte Carlo simulation and WACC-versus-terminal-growth sensitivity heatmaps.

The market price refreshes daily; the DCF fair value updates when EDP - Energias de Portugal S.A files a new quarterly or annual report. For educational/informational purposes only — not investment advice. Last updated 2026-08-08.